XRP Enters October After Three Straight Green Months — Can
the Rally Continue?
XRP | Ripple | ETF Flows | October 2026
XRP enters October with a notable three-month winning streak. The token gained about 2.1% in July, 30% in August and nearly 10% in September, extending its recent recovery and taking XRP above $1.50 at the end of September.
The question now is whether XRP can extend that momentum into October. Historical data provides a mixed picture, while strong spot XRP ETF inflows offer a contrasting source of demand.
XRP's Three-Month Rally
August was the strongest month of the current run, with XRP gaining approximately 30%. September added another roughly 10%, while July delivered a smaller 2.1% increase.
That puts the three-month compounded gain at roughly 47%.
| Month | XRP Performance |
|---|---|
| July 2026 | +2.1% |
| August 2026 | +30.0% |
| September 2026 | ~+10% |
| 3-month compounded gain | ~47% |
XRP also tested the $1.60 resistance area several times during September but was unable to establish a sustained break above it.
October Has Historically Been Difficult for XRP
The biggest question is whether XRP's recent momentum can overcome its historical October performance.
According to CryptoRank data cited by CryptoPotato, XRP finished only five of the last 13 Octobers in positive territory. Its most recent positive October was in 2023, when XRP gained approximately 16.5%.
The previous two Octobers were particularly weak:
- October 2024: -16.7%
- October 2025: significant double-digit decline
Other historical data also shows that previous three-month positive streaks have generally been followed by a negative month, although the size and duration of subsequent declines have varied considerably.
Historical seasonality is not a forecast, however, and XRP's 2026 rally has developed under different market conditions.
XRP ETF Demand Remains Strong
One of the major differences this year is the growing role of U.S. spot XRP ETFs.
The ETFs ended September with more than $120 million in monthly net inflows, while cumulative inflows reached a new high of nearly $1.8 billion, according to CryptoPotato's report. The funds also avoided a red week from early July through September.
More recent data showed XRP ETFs attracted approximately $75.89 million during the week of September 21–25, their strongest weekly performance in about a month.
XRP ETF Snapshot
| Metric | Reported Figure |
|---|---|
| September inflows | $120M+ |
| Cumulative inflows | ~$1.8B |
| Sept. 21–25 weekly inflows | ~$75.9M |
| ETF weekly streak | 10+ consecutive positive weeks |
This institutional demand provides a different backdrop from previous October cycles.
Key XRP Price Levels for October
XRP ended September around $1.50–$1.53, depending on the market snapshot. The token recently traded as high as roughly $1.65 before pulling back with the broader crypto market.
Important levels to monitor include:
| Level | Importance |
|---|---|
| $1.60–$1.65 | Major resistance zone |
| $1.50 | Psychological/key near-term level |
| $1.47 | Recent pullback area |
| $1.40–$1.45 | Deeper support zone |
| $1.70–$2.00 | Higher upside scenario if momentum strengthens |
A sustained move above $1.60–$1.65 would put higher levels into focus, while losing the $1.50 area could increase attention on lower support.
These are market reference levels, not guaranteed targets.
What Could Support XRP in October?
Several factors could influence XRP during the month:
1. Continued ETF Inflows
Persistent ETF demand could provide a source of spot-market buying pressure. The recent $75.9 million weekly inflow shows institutional interest remained active at the end of September.
2. XRPL Developments
The XRP Ledger continues to receive protocol upgrades and infrastructure developments. These could influence activity and the broader XRP ecosystem, although technological progress does not automatically translate into price gains.
3. Broader Crypto Market Direction
XRP remains highly sensitive to Bitcoin and overall crypto liquidity. A strong market-wide environment could support altcoins, while a sharp Bitcoin correction could pressure XRP regardless of its ETF flows.
4. Ripple Ecosystem Activity
Developments involving Ripple's payments infrastructure, RLUSD and institutional partnerships could also affect market sentiment around XRP.
What Could Pressure XRP?
October also comes with several potential risks:
- Historical October weakness
- Rejection around $1.60–$1.65
- Declining ETF inflows
- Broader crypto-market correction
- Higher interest-rate expectations
- Profit-taking after the three-month rally
XRP also remains significantly below its $3.65 all-time high, according to recent market data.
Bullish Scenario
If ETF inflows remain strong and XRP breaks convincingly above the $1.60–$1.65 region, traders could begin watching higher resistance levels.
A sustained broader crypto rally would provide an additional tailwind.
Bearish Scenario
If October follows XRP's recent historical pattern and selling pressure increases, the $1.50 area becomes an important level to monitor.
A break below recent support could expose XRP to a deeper correction, particularly if Bitcoin and the wider crypto market also weaken.
What Investors Should Watch in October
- $1.50: near-term price structure
- $1.60–$1.65: major resistance
- XRP ETF flows: whether institutional demand continues
- Bitcoin direction: broader market liquidity
- XRPL developments: network activity and upgrades
- October seasonality: whether history repeats or XRP breaks the pattern
FAQ
How much has XRP gained in the last three months?
XRP gained approximately 2.1% in July, 30% in August and nearly 10% in September, producing a compounded gain of roughly 47%.
Are XRP ETFs still seeing inflows?
Yes. XRP ETFs attracted approximately $75.9 million during September 21–25, while cumulative inflows reached nearly $1.8 billion by the end of September, according to the cited reports.
Is October historically positive for XRP?
Not consistently. CryptoRank data cited by CryptoPotato shows XRP finished only five of the last 13 Octobers in the green.
What is the key XRP resistance?
The $1.60–$1.65 region is an important resistance zone after XRP failed several times to establish a sustained move above $1.60 during September.
Final Take
XRP enters October with strong recent momentum but a challenging historical backdrop. Three consecutive green months have pushed the token significantly higher, while spot XRP ETFs continue to attract capital.
The key test will be whether ETF demand and broader market strength can offset XRP's historically weak October performance. For the month ahead, the $1.50 support area and $1.60–$1.65 resistance zone are among the levels worth watching closely.
